Time for me to chime in on my reactions for the Oscar nominations...
Best Picture - Either Sideways, The Aviator, or Million Dollar Baby. I
predict that they'll give it to The Aviator. Eternal Sunshine would
have been nice, but it's too unconventional for the Academy.
Best Director - Either Scorcese or Eastwood. I predict Scorcese,
because he definitely deserves it more for The Aviator than Gangs of
New York. But if he wins this, there's a chance the best picture might go to Million
Dollar Baby or Sideways.
Best Actor - Either Foxx, Cheadle, or DiCaprio. I predict Foxx, because
he is simply favored to win. I want DiCaprio to win. I'm actually
surprised Eastwood got a nomination though.
Best Actress - Either Sandeno Moreno, Staunton, or Swank. I predict
Catalina Sandeno Moreno will get this one. I'm glad Winslet was
nominated for ESOTSM though, and I guess she'll be like the Joey Lauren
Adams (Chasing Amy) of this year. I'm disappointed that Uma Thurman
didn't get a nod.
Best Supporting Actor - Either Freeman, Haden Church or Owen. I'd go
with Morgan Freeman on this one. I'm disappointed that Carradine didn't
get a
nod.
Best Supporting Actress - Either Blanchett or Madsen. I predict
Blanchett here, because the Academy loves seeing stars playing other
stars.
Best Original Screenplay - All great strong choices there, but I
predict ESOTSM will nab this, even though The Aviator and Hotel Rwanda
are more Academy friendly.
Best Adapted Screenplay - Either Before Sunset, Million Dollar Baby, or
Sideways for this one. I predict Million Dollar Baby will get this over Sideways.
Best Foreign Language film - Not familiar with any of the nominations,
although I'm not surprised House of Flying Daggers did not make it,
because I personally thought that it wasn't up to the Academy's
standards. Hero ofcourse was a 2002 film, so scratch that.
Best Documentary - Out of the list, I would easily say Super Size Me
will get it. I'm surprised that critical acclaimed favorites like
Metallica:Some Kind of Monster and Control Room weren't nominated (but
then, the critics aren't part of the Academy). If Moore submitted
Fahrenheit 9/11, I'm sure that would have been a shoe in. I also think
Metallica:SKOM wasn't eligible due to a technicality with the band
actually funding the film.
Best Animated Film - The Incredibles will beat Shrek 2! Maybe
GITS:Innocense was snubbed because of the director's arrogant statement
about his film.
Best Art Direction - Either Lemony Snicket's, Phantom of the Opera, or
A Very Long Engagement. I predict Lemony Snicket's might just get this
one. HOFD and Sky Captain were sadly snubbed for this one.
Best Cinematography - For the most part, the nominees are on equal footing, but I'd give the win to the Aviator.
Best Costume Design - For the most part, the nominees are on equal footing, but I'd once again give the win to the Aviator.
Best Documentary Short Subject - dum dee dum dumm, don't know....
Film Editing - Either The Aviator, Collateral, or Million Dollar Baby.
I'd give it to Million Dollar Baby, but I wouldn't mind seeing
Collateral win. Kill Bill vol.2 was sadly snubbed for this one.
Best Makeup - Passion of the Christ probably for all that blood....
Best Musical Score - Judging musical scores is not my strong suit when
it comes to movies (I like them all for the most part), but I'd guess
The Village for the moodyness of it all.
Best Song - "Believe" for the Polar Express will get this. I got no
beef between all the songs actually, but while Accidentally in Love is
a good song, it isn't going to win for the Academy. The new song for
the Phantom isn't going to win any favors either, because it's easily
overshadowed by the established Phantom songs.
Best Short Film (animated / live-action) - dunno
Best Sound Editing - All good, but The Incredibles will get this one.
Best Sound Mixing - All fine and dandy, but I'm voting for Ray here.
Best Visual Effects - Either Spider-Man 2 or Harry Potter: TPOA. I'd go
for Harry Potter here. Why wasn't the Aviator, HOFD, and Sky Captain
nominated for this one? For that matter, Eternal Sunshine of the
Spotless Mind should be recognized for doing "CG looking effects" that
were done using simple camera / film editing tricks.
Obviously I believe that the Aviator will win big. But the caveat here
is that the Academy likes spreading their awards when there are too
many good films that needs to be recognized. You can probably easily
change some of my Aviator choices to other favorites like Million
Dollar Baby or Sideways.
To repeat what has already been said, Hero is not eligible at all. It
was indeed nominated for best foreign film of 2002, but it was beat by
"nowhere in africa."
IMHO, as much as it's a fan favorite, House of Flying Daggers seriously
did NOT deserve nominations for Best Picture, Best Foreign Film, Best
Director, or Best Actress (Ziyi Zhang). For those categories, I
seriously didn't think they were up to the Academy's standards. I think
that it should have gotten a nomination for Art Direction, since
it's great use of colors along with the forest theme should have been
enough to get one.
The fact that Paul Giamatti did not get a nomination for Best Actor
(Eastwood beat him there?!), would indicate that while the critics LOVE
Sideways, the Academy doesn't love it as much as they do. Minimal wins
at best and will get overshadowed by what appears to be Academy
favorites; The Aviator and Million Dollar Baby. Despite my predictions
ofcourse.
Finding Neverland will also be getting shafted even though the Academy
was able to nominate it in several categories. That goes the same with
Ray, which I believe is only really recognized for Foxx's work. It
would also be nice if Hotel Rwanda win at least one thing. Also, while
Owen and Portman are being recognized for their work in Closer, they
are not going to win despite their Golden Globe victories (I didn't
like Closer that much anyways).
Kill Bill vol.2, Eternal Sunshine, and Sky Captain (for visual reasons)
were sadly snubbed for the most part. Great grab by Winslet for ESOTSM
though.
My other big concern is that it seems that the majority of movie goers
prefer Shrek 2 over the much much better The Incredibles. I hope that
doesn't sway the Academy to let Shrek 2 win, because for the most part
they are quite ignorant about animated works. Brad Bird deserves that
win.
All in all, typical oscar nominations.
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